Europe & Africa Market Update 20 May 2025
Benchmarks in European and African ports have moved in mixed directions, and bunker supply is normal off Malta.
Changes on the day to 09.00 GMT today:
- VLSFO prices up in Rotterdam ($5/mt) and Gibraltar ($4/mt), and down in Durban ($28/mt)
- LSMGO prices up in Rotterdam ($2/mt), and down in Gibraltar ($5/mt)
- HSFO prices up in Gibraltar ($7/mt) and Durban ($4/mt), and down in Rotterdam ($3/mt)
- Rotterdam B30-VLSFO premium over VLSFO down by $2/mt to $229/mt
Rotterdam’s VLSFO and LSMGO prices have increased some in the past day, while its HSFO price has edged down. A lower-priced prompt HSFO stem fixed in the port in the past day has weighed on the benchmark.
In contrast, Gibraltar’s HSFO price has risen by $7/mt. This has widened Gibraltar’s HSFO premium over Rotterdam by $10/mt, to $48/mt now.
Gibraltar’s Hi5 spread has steadily increased in recent weeks and currently stands at around $57/mt.
The port continues to face congestion due to a lack of space available for vessels, according to port agent MH Bland. Seven vessels are currently waiting to bunker in Gibraltar, down from eight yesterday.
Bunker operations are running normally in Ceuta, where eight vessels are scheduled to arrive today, shipping agent Jose Salama & Co said.
Bunkering is progressing smoothly off Malta, where supply of all grades is said to be normal. Lead times of 4-5 days are recommended for VLSFO and 3-4 days for LSMGO, a trader said.
Brent
The front-month ICE Brent contract has moved $0.47/bbl higher on the day, to trade at $65.46/bbl at 09.00 GMT.
Upward pressure:
Brent’s price has moved higher amid signs that the US-Iran nuclear negotiations may be faltering.
Washington has said that any deal with Tehran must include an agreement that suspends Iranian uranium enrichment. "We have one very, very clear red line, and that is enrichment. We cannot allow even 1% of an enrichment capability," Reuters cited US special envoy Steve Witkoff saying.
“Iranian nuclear talks appear to be hitting some stumbling blocks,” two analysts from ING Bank noted.
If the two countries had moved closer to striking a nuclear deal, it would raise prospects for the US to lift sanctions on Iranian oil supplies. “However, the latest developments demonstrate that reaching a deal won’t be easy,” the two ING Bank analysts added.
Downward pressure:
Oil came under pressure as weaker economic outlooks for the US and China – the world’s two largest oil consumers – weighed on demand sentiment.
Credit ratings agency Moody’s has downgraded US sovereign credit rating from "AAA" to "Aa1", citing concerns about the country’s growing $36 trillion debt pile, Reuters reports.
This news could further delay the US Federal Reserve (Fed) from cutting interest rates this year. Higher interest rates in the US could, in turn, dampen demand for dollar-denominated commodities like oil, making it costlier against other currencies.
Brent has been under some downward pressure after the latest Chinese economic data showed a slump in industrial output and retail sales, raising demand growth concerns for the world's top oil importer.
“Weaker demand [in China] coincides with rising US-China trade tensions following Liberation Day,” the ING Bank analysts said.
By Shilpa Sharma and Aparupa Mazumder
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