Europe & Africa Market Update 7 Apr 2025
European and African bunker benchmarks have continued their ascent, and VLSFO gains have contributed to widen Hi5 spreads.
Changes on the day to 09.00 GMT today:
- VLSFO up in Durban ($9/mt), Gibraltar ($7/mt) and Rotterdam ($6/mt)
- LSMGO prices up in Gibraltar ($13/mt) and Rotterdam ($8/mt)
- HSFO prices up in Durban ($10/mt), Rotterdam ($4/mt) and Gibraltar ($1/mt)
Conventional fuel prices in Rotterdam, Gibraltar and Durban have continued to climb higher in the past session, tracking Brentâs upward movement for a second day in a row.
Rotterdamâs VLSFO price has gained more than its HSFO and widened its Hi5 spread from a day before to $35/mt.
VLSFO supply in the ARA hub is tight with longer lead times of 8-10 days now, up from 7-8 days previously, a trader told ENGINE.
Gibraltarâs LSMGO price has made the largest gain in the past session. Its VLSFO price has gained more than its HSFO, to widen its Hi5 spread to $41/mt today, breaching the $40/mt mark for the first time in a month.
Gibraltar continues to face congestion due to the lack of available bunker barges, according to port agent MH Bland. The backlog stands at 16 vessels today, down from yesterdayâs 17, the port agent noted.
Bunker operations in Las Palmas are expected to continue as usual owing to a suitable weather forecast for the coming week, according to a trader.
Brent
The front-month ICE Brent contract has increased by $1.04/bbl on the day, to trade at $62.76/bbl at 09.00 GMT.
Upward pressure:
Brent crudeâs price has continued to move higher on the back of fresh hopes of easing trade tensions between the two top global oil consumers - China and the US. Both countries are set to start trade talks over the weekend, according to media reports.
The talks are scheduled on 10-11 May. â[The] talks would be a sign of potential de-escalation in trade tensions,â two analysts from ING Bank noted.
Comments by President Donald Trump and US treasury secretary Scott Bessent have hinted at the potential talks, market analysts said.
âYet while negotiations would help improve sentiment in the oil market, weâll need to see significant progress on lowering tariffs to improve the demand outlook,â the ING Bank analysts argue.
On the demand side, US crude stocks data published by the American Petroleum Institute (API) also provided some upward thrust to Brent. US crude oil inventories declined by 4.5 million bbls in the week ending 2 May, according to the API.
The numbers were âfairly constructive,â the two analysts noted. A drop in US crude stocks typically indicates higher demand and can lend some support to Brent's price.
Downward pressure:
Oil market analysts donât expect any major new changes in policy from the US Federal Reserveâs Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting later today.
Fed officials are set to meet to review this yearâs interest rate outlook, though market participants widely anticipate that a rate cut is unlikely at this stage.
Higher interest rates could strengthen the US dollar, making dollar-denominated commodities like oil less attractive for holders of other currencies.
âExpectations are low - Powell is expected to deliver a polished version of âweâre on hold, watching the dataâ,â SPI Asset Management managing partner Stephen Innes said.
By Samantha Shaji and Aparupa Mazumder
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