News 4th Sep, 2024

East of Suez Market Update 4 Sep 2024

Fujairah
Singapore
Zhoushan
HSFO
LSMGO
VLSFO

Prices in major Asian bunker ports have moved down, and VLSFO and HSFO availability remains tight in Singapore.


Changes on the day to 17.00 SGT (09.00 GMT) today:

  • VLSFO prices down in Singapore ($19/mt), Fujairah ($18/mt) and Zhoushan ($17/mt)
  • LSMGO prices down in Zhoushan ($24/mt), Fujairah ($22/mt) and Singapore ($17/mt)
  • HSFO prices down in Singapore ($20/mt), Fujairah and Zhoushan ($10/mt)

Bunker benchmarks in East of Suez ports have dropped in line with Brent’s decline over the past day. VLSFO prices in the three major Asian ports fell by $17-19/mt, with Singapore experiencing the steepest drop. Singapore's VLSFO price is currently at parity with those in Zhoushan and Fujairah.

Despite average demand, VLSFO supply in Singapore remains tight due to low stock levels and bunker barge loading delays at terminals. This situation is expected to last through mid-September, a source says. Most suppliers now recommend lead times of 9-14 days. Some can supply with shorter lead times, but these stems are usually priced higher.

HSFO supply is also constrained, with lead times extending up to two weeks. In contrast, LSMGO availability is better, with lead times of 3-6 days.

In Zhoushan, the VLSFO price drop has outpaced its HSFO decline, narrowing the port's Hi5 spread from $140/mt yesterday to $133/mt today. Zhoushan's Hi5 spread remains narrower than the Hi5 spread of $159/mt in Singapore and $148/mt in Fujairah.

Prompt availability of all grades has tightened in Zhoushan, with suppliers recommending lead times of 5-7 days across the board.

Brent

The front-month ICE Brent contract has plummeted by $3.46/bbl on the day, to trade at $73.52/bbl at 17.00 SGT (09.00 GMT).

Upward pressure:

Libya's crude oil production and exports have drastically dropped this week amid the ongoing conflict in the country over the leadership of its central bank. This news has continued to put some upward pressure on Brent’s price.

Earlier this week, the country’s state-owned National Oil Corporation (NOC) declared force majeure on the El Feel oilfield, stating that the prevailing situation with oil production and export in the country is “out of its control and cannot be prevented.”

In the Middle East, hopes of a ceasefire subsided as Iran-backed Houthi armed group continued targeting commercial vessels and oil tankers transiting the Red Sea.

In August, the Yemeni militant group hit MV DELTA SOUNION, a Greek-owned oil tanker, with a missile, causing a fire onboard. The vessel is currently stranded in the Red Sea.

Downward pressure:

Brent’s price plunged lower than the $75/bbl mark as fresh economic data from the world’s top oil consumers, China and the US, disappointed the global oil market.

Manufacturing Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) readings in China and the US came in at 49.1% and 47.2% in August, respectively. These figures fell short of market expectations, prompting concerns of a slowdown in factory activity, analysts remarked.

“Concerns over global economic growth—amplified by disappointing Chinese manufacturing data—are fueling doubts about future oil demand,” SPI Asset Management’s managing partner Stephen Innes said.

A PMI reading below 50 typically indicates weak economic health and a contraction in the manufacturing sector, which includes production, inventory levels, new orders, etc. It also highlights demand growth concerns, ultimately weighing down on prices of commodities like oil.

“The crude oil market sentiment remains under pressure as China's economic slowdown shows little sign of improvement, following data showing a further contraction in factory activity,” Saxo Bank’s head of commodity strategy Ole Hansen said.

By Tuhin Roy and Aparupa Mazumder

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