Europe & Africa Market Update 9 Sept 2025
Bunker benchmarks have mostly edged higher in European and African ports, and prompt deliveries can be difficult at the Gibraltar Strait ports.
IMAGE: Aerial view of the Bay of Gibraltar. Getty Images
Changes on the day to 09.00 GMT today:
- VLSFO prices up in Rotterdam ($8/mt), Gibraltar ($3/mt) and Durban ($1/mt)
- LSMGO prices up in Gibraltar ($8/mt) and Rotterdam ($7/mt)
- HSFO prices up in Gibraltar ($6/mt) and Rotterdam ($3/mt), and unchanged in Durban
- Rotterdam B30-VLSFO premium over VLSFO down by $5/mt to $265/mt
- Gibraltar B30-VLSFO premium over VLSFO down by $5/mt to $321/mt
Conventional fuel prices have edged up in the past session, tracking the gain in Brent.
Rotterdam’s VLSFO price has increased more than Gibraltar’s, which has narrowed its discount to $49/mt from $54/mt. Its discount to Durban’s VLSFO price has narrowed to $140/mt, from $147/mt yesterday.
Getting immediate deliveries of HSFO, VLSFO and LSMGO is difficult in the Gibraltar Strait, with buyers advised to book stems 5-7 days ahead of delivery to get a good selection of suppliers.
Congestion at Gibraltar remains high, with 10 vessels awaiting bunkers, compared to 12 yesterday, and some suppliers are delayed anywhere between 2-12 hours, port agent MH Bland said. Some suppliers in Algeciras can be delayed by almost a day, while one supplier is facing delays of 4-6 hours at Ceuta, MH Bland added.
Gibraltar and Ceuta are forecast to experience strong wind gusts of more than 25 knots from late hours of 9 September to early hours 10 September, but swells are expected to remain below 1 meter. Bunkering proceeds as usual.
Brent
The front-month ICE Brent contract has inched up by a marginal $0.03/bbl on the day, to trade at $66.69/bbl at 09.00 GMT.
Upward pressure:
Brent prices have found support from expectations that China will continue stockpiling oil and from concerns over possible new sanctions on Russia.
China’s stockpiling — which has helped absorb excess production this year — is likely to continue at a similar pace in 2026, according to Reuters citing a market watcher.
“Sentiment was also supported by data showing strong demand from China,” said Daniel Hynes, senior commodity strategist at ANZ Bank.
Speculation of additional sanctions on Russia also lent support to prices after the country’s largest airstrike on Ukraine set fire to a government building in Kyiv. US President Donald Trump told he was prepared to move to a second phase of restrictions, Reuters reported.
Further sanctions would reduce Russia’s oil exports to global markets, tightening supply.
“Reports that Russian oil flows could be further disrupted provided some support to oil prices,” Hynes added.
Attention is also on the US Federal Reserve, with its Federal Open Market Committee set to meet next week. Traders currently see an 89.4% chance of a quarter-point rate cut.
Lower interest rates reduce consumer borrowing costs and can stimulate economic growth, boosting oil demand.
Downward pressure:
Eight members of OPEC and its allies (OPEC+) have agreed to raise production by a combined 137,000 b/d in October, a move that has weighed on Brent futures.
“This marks the reversal of cuts that were set to remain in place until the end of 2026, following the rapid return of the previous tranche of idled barrels over recent months,” said ANZ Bank’s Hynes. “The …increase was viewed as a warning that the group is ready to push more barrels onto the market,” he added.
By Nachiket Tekawade and Tuhin Roy
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