News 7th May, 2024

East of Suez Market Update 7 May 2024

Fujairah
Port Klang
Singapore
Zhoushan
HSFO
LSMGO
VLSFO

Regional bunker benchmarks have moved in mixed directions, and prompt availability of all grades remains tight in Zhoushan.

PHOTO: Aerial view Zhoushan City, Zhejiang Province. Getty Images


Changes on the day, to 17.00 SGT (09.00 GMT) today:

  • VLSFO prices up in Zhoushan ($1/mt), and down in Fujairah ($4/mt) and Singapore ($2/mt)
  • LSMGO prices up in Fujairah ($15/mt) and Singapore ($2/mt), and down in Zhoushan ($9/mt)
  • HSFO prices up in Fujairah ($8/mt) and Singapore ($2/mt), and down in Zhoushan ($6/mt)

VLSFO price in Zhoushan has moved up marginally, while prices in Fujairah and Singapore have dropped. The price moves have placed Zhoushan's VLSFO at near parity levels with Singapore and Fujairah.

Prompt availability of all grades in Zhoushan continues to be tight, with suppliers suggesting lead times of 5-7 days, unchanged from last week. Suppliers in Zhoushan are struggling with limited barge availability, a source says.

Bunker demand for all grades remains low in UAE’s Fujairah. However, prompt availability remains tight for all grades with suppliers projecting lead times of 7-10 days.

In Malaysia's Port Klang, VLSFO and LSMGO grades are readily available. Some suppliers can offer prompt deliveries for smaller parcel sizes, a source says. HSFO is tight in the port due to limited supply.

Brent

The front-month ICE Brent contract lost $0.26/bbl on the day, to trade at $83.50/bbl at 17.00 SGT (09.00 GMT).

Upward pressure:

Brent futures gained support after Israel rejected the draft ceasefire proposal from Hamas on Monday. This news has sparked fresh concerns about supply crunch in the global oil market as analysts fear further escalation of tensions in key oil producing regions in the Middle East.

“With the Gaza ceasefire talks falling apart, as was expected, the [oil] market is starting to realize that the geopolitical risk factors have not gone away,” Price Futures Group’s senior market analyst Phil Flynn said.

Israel conducted another round of airstrikes on Gaza’s southern Rafah region yesterday, while the ceasefire talks continued in Cairo, Reuters reported.

Brent gained “on news that Israel had rejected a draft proposal accepted by Hamas and begun hitting targets in Rafah city in southern Gaza,” VANDA Insights’ founder and analyst Vandana Hari said.

Downward pressure:

Brent futures felt some downward pressure due to growing concerns about a potential deceleration in the US economy. This sentiment gained support after the US released a downbeat jobs data and a below-50 reading for manufacturing Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI). A PMI reading below 50 indicates contraction.

“Currently, the [oil] market is worried about a US economic slowdown,” SPI Asset Management’s managing partner Stephen Innes said.

Brent’s price gains will be further capped if the US Federal Reserve (Fed) delays interest rates cut for the rest of this year. The US central bank maintained interest rates at 5.25-5.50% at its latest policy meeting.

Higher interest rates often dampen demand by increasing the cost of commodities like oil for non-dollar holders.

By Aparupa Mazumder

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